K7JBQ:
With the wind or neutral, hit a 3 iron.
Against the wind, hit the 3 wood.
The above based on playing that hole many, many times.
If we're talking about BPB #3, the 3w is only to be used in 15+ mph head wind. 7 mph head wind is 225 full, with a touch of bs. Of course, if you don't ding on that hole, all math is pointless, cause the shot has a mind of its own, especially in the lateral movement department. It's the same as ever.
Can't see the replay, so I don't know where the ball ended up, but my guess would be behind the green.
P.S.: I don't mean to offend the OP, but if I was him, I'd change my calculations for everything, cause looking at his stats, they're obviously wrong.