I have been playing the 18 hole ready go round St Andrews for the last couple of months. The conditions are set to heavy winds and on the 14th I was very much of the mind set that if it was into the wind, I had little chance of a birdie. The chances of clearing the rough were nil, leaving me a long shot into the green in regulation.
The question always put to you in this situation is where to bale out with your second shot. I had always taken 1 of 2 options. The first being to hit down the right side of the fairway as far it goes, landing just short of the rough. The problem with taking that route is that you have a very long shot into the green.
The other option is to cross to the left hand fairway which leaves you a shorter 3rd shot into the green. I'm sure however we've all been a victim of the out of bounds when taking this option.
In the last couple of weeks I have now gone down the route of a 3rd bale out place to land. Perhaps I've been a bit slow with this one but in playing against other players, none have taken this option. I now aim to land in the rough to the right hand side of Hell Bunker. It seems the worst lie you get there is a 30/40% but often a 20/25% and you usually have a 9 iron, wedge in from there. This makes a birdie a real possibility.
Hope this is of use to someone out there :^)