I'm beginging to hate this CttH lol, the #1 seems so random - I've had the same wind countless times (yes countless) and the same setup, same 'ding' usually with widly different result, if its blowing L - R half the time nothing affects the ball and I end 'xx' yards left of the pin, (about where I aimed to allow the wind to affect my ball) I've hit perfect 'dings' with the wind directly into my face and ended up 15 yards right of the pin, I've hit the same shot into the same headwind and been 3' away, 8 yards over and 5 yards before, so now if I'm about 10ft I will move on to #2. (You can probably guess why I say countless now, its a restart if I'm 25ft out cos trying to pick that up over the other 8 is hard).
Anyway, #2 ok, #3 go past or right ur screwed, #4 go long ur screwed, then comes #5 - usually when I pack the round in lol
I'm just thankful its not a course with water, I'd be buying balls every day :)