Hi mate.
I’m not an amazing player but my distances are very consistent.
I can’t say what’s right and wrong but I can tell you how I would play that one.
To the pin from your position I would be looking at 202.7 yards
crosswind i would be looking at aiming 2.3-2.6 boxes over depending which club I hit 4i or 3i.
When you aim you can change a crosswind from say 9’oclock to an 8.5 slight headwind or 9.5 slight tailwind to your shot. (Not normally on a longer iron but certainly on your wedges and you 9,8,7)
looking at your ball club combo I personally would’ve hit that with full backspin (4i) at 98% or if it was a 40ft drop to an uphill sloped green I would’ve hit the 3i at 93% no backspin to allow 3/4 yards of rollout.
hope that helps