I disagree, into a 10 HW it is very possible you would need to hit 3wd into that green and I had to do it just yesterday.
The hole plays 520, and although downhill, with his driver and depending on how he hit it, you might only get 280 to 295 on your drive. That means you could be left with 225 to 240.
The downhill is only gonna take off 7 - 9 yards and it will be lower hitting into that HW, as the wind will lift ball up and take off distance.
With all that being said, I would think you would be needing to hit 240-250 of power, which is like 95% with that 3wd with FBS, and I wouldn't expect it to carry 255 yards over the green and into the water, hitting it like that.
If I had 225 to the hole, i would probably still go with a 3i, but i think if you are over 230 to the hole into that wind you need to go with 3wd if you wanna get on.
Maybe like someone said you lay up and wedge in, but that's not my style