Now that we're completely hijacked the original post (probably a good idea), let me just say that the "premium" balls, such as the level 90 Nikes, are indeed easier to hit with precision, unless the wind is blowing and you choose to hit with backspin, in which case a missed ding will have very interesting results.
Now, back to Congressional #6, a classic risk/reward hole if there ever was one. Into the wind, at that distance, I would lay up as well. Downwind, I tend to shoot, if not right at the flag, at least just to the left of it. If you make your shot, you have an excellent chance at an eagle. If you miss the ding right and find the water, it's still pretty easy to make par. It's a nice short wedge from the drop area.
I've also seen players try to lay up from there, only to miss the ding a little right and have the ball trickle into the drink. Doesn't make much of a splash, but it's still a goner.
Robert1893:
First, not all hazards or out of bound are a function of distance. Second, neither. From that distance, I would always choose to lay up, taking the hazard out of the equation. It's a course management issue, not a distance issue. Third, you neglect to take into account the other characteristics of higher-priced balls that make them easier to hit with precision.